What is Collective Intelligence?
For collective intelligence to emerge instead of "groupthink", it is necessary to check the natural tendency of group members to try to minimize conflict and reach a consensus decision without critical evaluation of alternative ideas or viewpoints.
As summarized in the best-selling book The Wisdom of Crowds, four conditions have to prevail: diversity of opinions, decentralization of inputs, independence of thought and information aggregation:
Choosing the right information aggregation mechanism is critical to achieving collective intelligence.
For instance, when the task at hand is forecasting, prediction markets have proven particularly efficient at "consolidating the informed guesswork of many into hard probability", as The Economist recently wrote.
Lumenogic has more than a decade of experience helping companies tap their collective intelligence through prediction markets, innovation competitions and other means.
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Emile Servan-Schreiber
Lumenogic Research Report May 2012
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Eric Bonabeau
MIT Sloan Management Review Winter 2009, 50:2
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Why the Many Are Smarter Than the Few and How Collective Wisdom Shapes Business, Economies, Societies and Nations
James Surowiecki
Doubleday, 2004
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Thomas Malone, Robert Laubacher & Chrysanthos Dellarocas
MIT Sloan Management Review Spring 2010, 51:3
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Principles and Mechanisms
Hélène Landemore & Jon Elster (Eds)
Cambridge University Press, 2012
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How the Power of Diversity Creates Better Groups, Firms, Schools, and Societies
Scott E. Page
Princeton University Press, 2007
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How Many Minds Produce Knowledge
Cass Sustein
Oxford University Press, 2008
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